Former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin on making better decisions

Originally published on CNN Business.

August 6, 2023

By Fareed Zakaria, GPS

In this CNN interview, former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin shares with Fareed Zakaria insights into his decision-making process and reflections on his extensive career in finance and public service. Drawing from his 26-year tenure at Goldman Sachs, Rubin describes his methodical approach using a yellow legal pad to analyze potential benefits, costs, and risks – a practice that exemplifies what he calls a "probabilistic mindset." This systematic approach to decision-making became deeply internalized and has guided him throughout his career.

Along with career successes, Rubin discusses lessons learned from not anticipating the housing crisis during his time at Citigroup, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a questioning, constructively skeptical mindset. Looking at the current economic landscape, Rubin acknowledges the United States' fundamental strengths while expressing measured concern about present-day uncertainties. He notes that the level of economic uncertainty is perhaps as significant as any he's witnessed in his five-decade career. Rubin also reflectes on his natural bias toward risk assessment, explaining how he consciously works to recognize and balance this tendency in his decision-making process.

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Robert Rubin: Economic Decision-Making During Times of Uncertainty